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Lowest temperature in NYC on April 22?

icon for Lowest temperature in NYC on April 22?

Lowest temperature in NYC on April 22?

Ended: Apr 22

Jul 29

Jul 30

Ended: Apr 22

Jul 29

Jul 30

46-47°F 100.0%

37°F or below <1%

38-39°F <1%

40-41°F <1%

Polymarket

$95,167 Обс.

46-47°F 100.0%

37°F or below <1%

38-39°F <1%

40-41°F <1%

Polymarket

$95,167 Обс.

37°F or below

$1,694 Обс.

No

38-39°F

$10,470 Обс.

No

40-41°F

$2,260 Обс.

No

42-43°F

$4,946 Обс.

No

44-45°F

$8,762 Обс.

No

46-47°F

$14,971 Обс.

Yes

48-49°F

$5,446 Обс.

No

50-51°F

$8,646 Обс.

No

52-53°F

$23,490 Обс.

No

54-55°F

$6,393 Обс.

No

56°F or higher

$8,088 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$95,167
Дата завершення
Apr 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$95,167
Дата завершення
Apr 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in NYC on April 22?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «46-47°F» з 100%, далі «37°F or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in NYC on April 22?» згенерував $95.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 20, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in NYC on April 22?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in NYC on April 22?» — «46-47°F» з 100%. Наступний — «37°F or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in NYC on April 22?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.