The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on April 27?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$42,921 Обс.
$42,921 Обс.
Apr 27, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$42,921 Обс.
$42,921 Обс.
Apr 27, 2026
37°F or below
$13,018 Обс.
No
38-39°F
$1,575 Обс.
No
40-41°F
$1,587 Обс.
No
42-43°F
$1,884 Обс.
No
44-45°F
$2,681 Обс.
No
46-47°F
$2,295 Обс.
No
48-49°F
$4,806 Обс.
Yes
50-51°F
$1,359 Обс.
No
52-53°F
$712 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$1,088 Обс.
No
56°F or higher
$11,916 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,921Дата завершення
Apr 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$42,921Дата завершення
Apr 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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