Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on June 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 2?
54-55°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,691 Обс.
$33,691 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,691 Обс.
$33,691 Обс.
Jun 2, 2026
45°F or below
$1,098 Обс.
No
46-47°F
$1,087 Обс.
No
48-49°F
$1,158 Обс.
No
50-51°F
$1,747 Обс.
No
52-53°F
$2,382 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$9,625 Обс.
Yes
56-57°F
$3,275 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$6,133 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$4,803 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$1,923 Обс.
No
64°F or higher
$459 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,691Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33,691Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання