Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on July 8?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 8?
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,182 Обс.
$33,182 Обс.
Jul 8, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,182 Обс.
$33,182 Обс.
Jul 8, 2026
15°C or below
$1,643 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,260 Обс.
No
17°C
$5,270 Обс.
No
18°C
$4,590 Обс.
Yes
19°C
$3,030 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,926 Обс.
No
21°C
$2,374 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,952 Обс.
No
23°C
$1,405 Обс.
No
24°C
$3,625 Обс.
No
25°C or higher
$3,105 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,182Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33,182Дата завершення
Jul 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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