Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 18?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 Обс.
$24,737 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$24,737 Обс.
$24,737 Обс.
Jun 18, 2026
13°C or below
$338 Обс.
No
14°C
$655 Обс.
No
15°C
$2,030 Обс.
No
16°C
$4,207 Обс.
No
17°C
$7,947 Обс.
Yes
18°C
$1,687 Обс.
No
19°C
$1,787 Обс.
No
20°C
$2,703 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,877 Обс.
No
22°C
$525 Обс.
No
23°C or higher
$980 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,737Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24,737Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave peaking June 18 with daytime maxima near 36–37°C under clear skies and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures around 19–20°C in central Paris. Trader consensus favoring 17°C (48.5%) over 18°C (40.0%) likely stems from minor downward revisions in overnight guidance, urban heat-island effects at official stations, or slight variations in boundary-layer moisture. With probabilities tightly clustered, small forecast shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could easily tip the recorded low between these two thresholds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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