The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C low in Seoul on May 31 stems from tight consensus across Korea Meteorological Administration and international model runs, which project this exact overnight minimum under clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-May radiative cooling with humidity near 60%. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows around 14–16°C, but current atmospheric setup aligns closely with 17°C. Minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or last-hour forecast adjustments could realistically produce a 16°C or 18°C reading and alter resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on May 31?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 31?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$42,725 Обс.
$42,725 Обс.
May 31, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$42,725 Обс.
$42,725 Обс.
May 31, 2026
13°C or below
$3,311 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,451 Обс.
No
15°C
$3,491 Обс.
No
16°C
$11,116 Обс.
No
17°C
$14,814 Обс.
Yes
18°C
$2,515 Обс.
No
19°C
$792 Обс.
No
20°C
$755 Обс.
No
21°C
$363 Обс.
No
22°C
$398 Обс.
No
23°C or higher
$2,719 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C low in Seoul on May 31 stems from tight consensus across Korea Meteorological Administration and international model runs, which project this exact overnight minimum under clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-May radiative cooling with humidity near 60%. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows around 14–16°C, but current atmospheric setup aligns closely with 17°C. Minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or last-hour forecast adjustments could realistically produce a 16°C or 18°C reading and alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,725Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C low in Seoul on May 31 stems from tight consensus across Korea Meteorological Administration and international model runs, which project this exact overnight minimum under clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-May radiative cooling with humidity near 60%. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows around 14–16°C, but current atmospheric setup aligns closely with 17°C. Minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or last-hour forecast adjustments could realistically produce a 16°C or 18°C reading and alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42,725Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The overwhelming 100% market-implied probability for a 17°C low in Seoul on May 31 stems from tight consensus across Korea Meteorological Administration and international model runs, which project this exact overnight minimum under clear to partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and typical late-May radiative cooling with humidity near 60%. These conditions favor efficient surface heat loss without significant advection or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology for the period shows average lows around 14–16°C, but current atmospheric setup aligns closely with 17°C. Minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing, localized urban heat-island effects at the official station, or last-hour forecast adjustments could realistically produce a 16°C or 18°C reading and alter resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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