Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 3?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Обс.
$19,371 Обс.
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$19,371 Обс.
$19,371 Обс.
May 3, 2026
11°C or below
$1,804 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,990 Обс.
No
13°C
$2,147 Обс.
No
14°C
$846 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,331 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$349 Обс.
No
17°C
$740 Обс.
No
18°C
$8,609 Обс.
No
19°C
$217 Обс.
No
20°C
$388 Обс.
No
21°C or higher
$950 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,371Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$19,371Дата завершення
May 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (51%) and 16°C (47%) for Shanghai's lowest temperature on May 3 at Pudong International Airport, driven by uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling amid a passing upper-level trough bringing cooler mid-level air, per latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models. Yesterday's May 2 low unexpectedly dipped to 13°C—below the anticipated 16°C—due to clearer skies and light winds enabling efficient surface heat loss, heightening caution. Overcast conditions and westerly breezes up to 21 km/h are projected to temper cooling, with persistent cloud cover potentially lifting the minimum to 16°C while intermittent clearing risks 14°C (9%). Hourly Pudong observations will clarify, resolving via Wunderground data against early-May climatological lows near 16°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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