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Технологія·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

icon for OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Технологія·AI

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

4% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
4% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's aggressive push toward an independent IPO underpins the 95.9% market-implied probability against acquisition before 2027. The company confidentially filed SEC paperwork in June 2026 targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation, completed a $7 billion employee tender at an $852 billion mark, and reorganized leadership and products around Codex, agents, and enterprise revenue to prepare for a potential 2027 listing. Sam Altman and the board have repeatedly stated the nonprofit-controlled entity is not for sale, echoing the 2025 rejection of Elon Musk's bid. While regulatory scrutiny of AI consolidation or an unforeseen capital crunch could theoretically reopen acquisition talks, current momentum toward public markets and ongoing small tuck-in deals by OpenAI itself reinforce trader consensus for continued independence.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$4,599
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's aggressive push toward an independent IPO underpins the 95.9% market-implied probability against acquisition before 2027. The company confidentially filed SEC paperwork in June 2026 targeting up to a $1 trillion valuation, completed a $7 billion employee tender at an $852 billion mark, and reorganized leadership and products around Codex, agents, and enterprise revenue to prepare for a potential 2027 listing. Sam Altman and the board have repeatedly stated the nonprofit-controlled entity is not for sale, echoing the 2025 rejection of Elon Musk's bid. While regulatory scrutiny of AI consolidation or an unforeseen capital crunch could theoretically reopen acquisition talks, current momentum toward public markets and ongoing small tuck-in deals by OpenAI itself reinforce trader consensus for continued independence.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.

An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$4,599
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«OpenAI acquired before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 4% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 4¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 4%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«OpenAI acquired before 2027?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Nov 12, 2025. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «OpenAI acquired before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «OpenAI acquired before 2027?» — 4% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 4% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «OpenAI acquired before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.