Through April 17, National Weather Service preliminary data at Central Park records just 0.62 inches of precipitation—only four rain days totaling 0.62 inches—well below the climatological norm of about 1.8 inches for mid-month, driving trader consensus toward under 2 inches at 66.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging has fostered unusually warm conditions (average 57.2°F, +6°F above normal) and suppressed storm activity, amplified by ENSO-neutral patterns per NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Forecast models show low precipitation odds through month-end, though isolated showers remain possible; watch NWS 8-14 day outlooks and final CLI reports for shifts before April 30 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPrecipitation in NYC in April?
Precipitation in NYC in April?
<2" 66.4%
2-3" 22%
4-5" 6.0%
3-4" 3.9%
$48,060 Обс.
$48,060 Обс.
<2"
66%
2-3"
22%
3-4"
4%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
4%
>6"
2%
<2" 66.4%
2-3" 22%
4-5" 6.0%
3-4" 3.9%
$48,060 Обс.
$48,060 Обс.
<2"
66%
2-3"
22%
3-4"
4%
4-5"
6%
5-6"
4%
>6"
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Through April 17, National Weather Service preliminary data at Central Park records just 0.62 inches of precipitation—only four rain days totaling 0.62 inches—well below the climatological norm of about 1.8 inches for mid-month, driving trader consensus toward under 2 inches at 66.5% implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging has fostered unusually warm conditions (average 57.2°F, +6°F above normal) and suppressed storm activity, amplified by ENSO-neutral patterns per NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Forecast models show low precipitation odds through month-end, though isolated showers remain possible; watch NWS 8-14 day outlooks and final CLI reports for shifts before April 30 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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