Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЯкі компанії матимуть модель штучного інтелекту №1 до 30 червня?
Які компанії матимуть модель штучного інтелекту №1 до 30 червня?
$1,711,813 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
OpenAI
Ні
DeepSeek
Ні
xAI
Ні
Anthropic
Так
Meta
Ні
Mistral
Ні
Alibaba
Ні
Nvidia
Ні
Baidu
Ні
Z.ai
Ні
Meituan
Ні
$1,711,813 Обс.
OpenAI
$455,499 Обс.
Ні
DeepSeek
$287,512 Обс.
Ні
xAI
$594,365 Обс.
Ні
Anthropic
$257,971 Обс.
Так
Meta
$30,984 Обс.
Ні
Mistral
$16,157 Обс.
Ні
Alibaba
$20,914 Обс.
Ні
Nvidia
$10,181 Обс.
Ні
Baidu
$12,315 Обс.
Ні
Z.ai
$20,598 Обс.
Ні
Meituan
$5,317 Обс.
Ні
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,711,813Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Ні
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Ні
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Обсяг
$1,711,813Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Ні
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Ні
Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання