The U.S. federal government has expanded equity stakes in strategic companies since January 2025, primarily through Commerce Department CHIPS Act grants and Defense Department investments conditioned on minority, non-controlling positions. This approach targets semiconductors, quantum computing, critical minerals, and defense supply chains to strengthen domestic capabilities. Recent activity includes finalized $100 million deals with equity for Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantinuum in September 2026, plus July letters of intent covering GlobalFoundries and additional chipmakers that could bring the portfolio to around 30 firms totaling roughly $27–30 billion. Trader consensus assigns the highest probabilities to these recipients based on announced frameworks and ongoing agency programs, while lower odds apply to firms outside current funding pipelines. Additional announcements tied to FY2027 authorizations or new national security priorities could shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$184,942 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
GlobalFoundries
99%
Rigetti
99%
D-Wave
97%
Unusual Machines
34%
TSMC
20%
IonQ
15%
Nvidia
15%
Micron
20%
OpenAI
13%
Lockheed Martin
13%
Anduril
12%
Freeport-McMoRan
12%
Eli Lilly
10%
SpaceX
10%
Boeing
10%
Anthropic
7%
Palantir
6%
Samsung Electronics
4%
Pfizer
4%
TikTok US / Bytedance
4%
$184,942 Обс.
GlobalFoundries
$8,953 Обс.
99%
Rigetti
$26,780 Обс.
99%
D-Wave
$5,250 Обс.
97%
Unusual Machines
$211 Обс.
34%
TSMC
$15,490 Обс.
20%
IonQ
$2,727 Обс.
15%
Nvidia
$16,013 Обс.
15%
Micron
$1,974 Обс.
20%
OpenAI
$10,825 Обс.
13%
Lockheed Martin
$2,589 Обс.
13%
Anduril
$43,512 Обс.
12%
Freeport-McMoRan
$3,286 Обс.
12%
Eli Lilly
$3,126 Обс.
10%
SpaceX
$58 Обс.
10%
Boeing
$10,369 Обс.
10%
Anthropic
$6,531 Обс.
7%
Palantir
$4,127 Обс.
6%
Samsung Electronics
$10,347 Обс.
4%
Pfizer
$6,364 Обс.
4%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$6,412 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. federal government has expanded equity stakes in strategic companies since January 2025, primarily through Commerce Department CHIPS Act grants and Defense Department investments conditioned on minority, non-controlling positions. This approach targets semiconductors, quantum computing, critical minerals, and defense supply chains to strengthen domestic capabilities. Recent activity includes finalized $100 million deals with equity for Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantinuum in September 2026, plus July letters of intent covering GlobalFoundries and additional chipmakers that could bring the portfolio to around 30 firms totaling roughly $27–30 billion. Trader consensus assigns the highest probabilities to these recipients based on announced frameworks and ongoing agency programs, while lower odds apply to firms outside current funding pipelines. Additional announcements tied to FY2027 authorizations or new national security priorities could shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Обсяг
$184,942Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. federal government has expanded equity stakes in strategic companies since January 2025, primarily through Commerce Department CHIPS Act grants and Defense Department investments conditioned on minority, non-controlling positions. This approach targets semiconductors, quantum computing, critical minerals, and defense supply chains to strengthen domestic capabilities. Recent activity includes finalized $100 million deals with equity for Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantinuum in September 2026, plus July letters of intent covering GlobalFoundries and additional chipmakers that could bring the portfolio to around 30 firms totaling roughly $27–30 billion. Trader consensus assigns the highest probabilities to these recipients based on announced frameworks and ongoing agency programs, while lower odds apply to firms outside current funding pipelines. Additional announcements tied to FY2027 authorizations or new national security priorities could shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$184,942Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The U.S. federal government has expanded equity stakes in strategic companies since January 2025, primarily through Commerce Department CHIPS Act grants and Defense Department investments conditioned on minority, non-controlling positions. This approach targets semiconductors, quantum computing, critical minerals, and defense supply chains to strengthen domestic capabilities. Recent activity includes finalized $100 million deals with equity for Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantinuum in September 2026, plus July letters of intent covering GlobalFoundries and additional chipmakers that could bring the portfolio to around 30 firms totaling roughly $27–30 billion. Trader consensus assigns the highest probabilities to these recipients based on announced frameworks and ongoing agency programs, while lower odds apply to firms outside current funding pipelines. Additional announcements tied to FY2027 authorizations or new national security priorities could shift outcomes before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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