Skip to main content
Market icon
Політика·Іран

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Market icon
Політика·Іран

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

$332,867 Обс.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$332,867 Обс.

Polymarket

Any U.S. House member

$67,803 Обс.

8%

Marco Rubio

$16,521 Обс.

7%

JD Vance

$21,387 Обс.

7%

Any U.S. Senator

$27,905 Обс.

4%

Pete Hegseth

$84,588 Обс.

4%

Jared Kushner

$12,772 Обс.

3%

Donald Trump

$63,260 Обс.

2%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$38,629 Обс.

2%

If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel-Iran war—sparked by February 28 airstrikes assassinating Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites and missile facilities—trader consensus reflects slim odds for US lawmakers, nominees like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth, or Israeli leaders such as Benjamin Netanyahu entering Iran by June 30, driven by acute security risks and absent diplomatic breakthroughs. US special forces' early April rescue of a downed pilot marked a brief incursion, echoed by Iraqi PMF forces crossing in, but no political visits have occurred. Recent US deployments of thousands more troops to counter Iran, alongside stalled uranium recovery talks President Trump proposed, underscore military pressure over access. Potential Israel-Lebanon negotiations or Strait of Hormuz de-escalation could shift dynamics, though regime instability persists.

If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$332,867
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel-Iran war—sparked by February 28 airstrikes assassinating Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and targeting nuclear sites and missile facilities—trader consensus reflects slim odds for US lawmakers, nominees like Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth, or Israeli leaders such as Benjamin Netanyahu entering Iran by June 30, driven by acute security risks and absent diplomatic breakthroughs. US special forces' early April rescue of a downed pilot marked a brief incursion, echoed by Iraqi PMF forces crossing in, but no political visits have occurred. Recent US deployments of thousands more troops to counter Iran, alongside stalled uranium recovery talks President Trump proposed, underscore military pressure over access. Potential Israel-Lebanon negotiations or Strait of Hormuz de-escalation could shift dynamics, though regime instability persists.

If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$332,867
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will enter Iran by June 30?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Any U.S. House member» з 8%, далі «Marco Rubio» з 7%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will enter Iran by June 30?» згенерував $332.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will enter Iran by June 30?», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Це відкритий ринок. Поточний лідер для «Who will enter Iran by June 30?» — «Any U.S. House member» лише з 8%, а «Marco Rubio» — близько позаду з 7%. Жоден результат не має впевненої більшості — трейдери вважають це дуже невизначеним.

Правила вирішення для «Who will enter Iran by June 30?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.