Russian forces have recorded only minimal confirmed territorial gains across Ukraine in 2026, with ISW assessments placing verified advances at roughly 148 square kilometers and no reported ground activity or confirmed progress in the Borova direction as of mid-September. Ukrainian counterattacks have repeatedly disrupted Russian attempts near Borova and adjacent sectors along the Oskil River, while Russian efforts remain concentrated on slower incremental advances elsewhere, particularly around Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka. Exaggerated Russian claims of large-scale encirclements or rapid gains in the area have not materialized, and the positional nature of fighting, combined with Ukrainian defensive actions, has kept the specific intersection defining capture well behind the current line of contact. These battlefield dynamics underpin trader consensus that capture remains unlikely before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?
7% шанс
$54,346 Обс.
$54,346 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
7% шанс
$54,346 Обс.
$54,346 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have recorded only minimal confirmed territorial gains across Ukraine in 2026, with ISW assessments placing verified advances at roughly 148 square kilometers and no reported ground activity or confirmed progress in the Borova direction as of mid-September. Ukrainian counterattacks have repeatedly disrupted Russian attempts near Borova and adjacent sectors along the Oskil River, while Russian efforts remain concentrated on slower incremental advances elsewhere, particularly around Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka. Exaggerated Russian claims of large-scale encirclements or rapid gains in the area have not materialized, and the positional nature of fighting, combined with Ukrainian defensive actions, has kept the specific intersection defining capture well behind the current line of contact. These battlefield dynamics underpin trader consensus that capture remains unlikely before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 21, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$54,346Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces have recorded only minimal confirmed territorial gains across Ukraine in 2026, with ISW assessments placing verified advances at roughly 148 square kilometers and no reported ground activity or confirmed progress in the Borova direction as of mid-September. Ukrainian counterattacks have repeatedly disrupted Russian attempts near Borova and adjacent sectors along the Oskil River, while Russian efforts remain concentrated on slower incremental advances elsewhere, particularly around Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka. Exaggerated Russian claims of large-scale encirclements or rapid gains in the area have not materialized, and the positional nature of fighting, combined with Ukrainian defensive actions, has kept the specific intersection defining capture well behind the current line of contact. These battlefield dynamics underpin trader consensus that capture remains unlikely before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.373835° N, 37.622038° E in Borova, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova1.png
Intersection Location in Borova: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova2.png
Borova Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Borova3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/pmtLHxQG1BLioW6AA
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Обсяг
$54,346Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 21, 2026, 1:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have recorded only minimal confirmed territorial gains across Ukraine in 2026, with ISW assessments placing verified advances at roughly 148 square kilometers and no reported ground activity or confirmed progress in the Borova direction as of mid-September. Ukrainian counterattacks have repeatedly disrupted Russian attempts near Borova and adjacent sectors along the Oskil River, while Russian efforts remain concentrated on slower incremental advances elsewhere, particularly around Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka. Exaggerated Russian claims of large-scale encirclements or rapid gains in the area have not materialized, and the positional nature of fighting, combined with Ukrainian defensive actions, has kept the specific intersection defining capture well behind the current line of contact. These battlefield dynamics underpin trader consensus that capture remains unlikely before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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