Ukrainian forces have launched a counteroffensive operation called Vivaldi in the Lyman direction of northern Donetsk Oblast, clearing Russian infiltration groups from dozens of square kilometers and recapturing additional territory while disrupting enemy logistics. Russian claims of seizing Stavky and nearby settlements have been rejected by Ukrainian commanders as staged infiltrations quickly neutralized by defending units. Russian offensive operations near Lyman and Stavky continue without documented advances, amid reports of Ukrainian counterattacks that threaten Russian positions in the sector. These developments align with the broader pattern of incremental Russian pressure met by effective Ukrainian defensive and localized offensive actions around key eastern strongholds. Scheduled fighting and any shifts in Russian force allocation or Ukrainian reinforcements in the coming weeks could influence control over the specific intersection referenced in the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Russia capture Stavky by...?
Will Russia capture Stavky by...?
$128,252 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
$128,252 Обс.
September 30
$30,791 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian forces have launched a counteroffensive operation called Vivaldi in the Lyman direction of northern Donetsk Oblast, clearing Russian infiltration groups from dozens of square kilometers and recapturing additional territory while disrupting enemy logistics. Russian claims of seizing Stavky and nearby settlements have been rejected by Ukrainian commanders as staged infiltrations quickly neutralized by defending units. Russian offensive operations near Lyman and Stavky continue without documented advances, amid reports of Ukrainian counterattacks that threaten Russian positions in the sector. These developments align with the broader pattern of incremental Russian pressure met by effective Ukrainian defensive and localized offensive actions around key eastern strongholds. Scheduled fighting and any shifts in Russian force allocation or Ukrainian reinforcements in the coming weeks could influence control over the specific intersection referenced in the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$128,252Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian forces have launched a counteroffensive operation called Vivaldi in the Lyman direction of northern Donetsk Oblast, clearing Russian infiltration groups from dozens of square kilometers and recapturing additional territory while disrupting enemy logistics. Russian claims of seizing Stavky and nearby settlements have been rejected by Ukrainian commanders as staged infiltrations quickly neutralized by defending units. Russian offensive operations near Lyman and Stavky continue without documented advances, amid reports of Ukrainian counterattacks that threaten Russian positions in the sector. These developments align with the broader pattern of incremental Russian pressure met by effective Ukrainian defensive and localized offensive actions around key eastern strongholds. Scheduled fighting and any shifts in Russian force allocation or Ukrainian reinforcements in the coming weeks could influence control over the specific intersection referenced in the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 49.048958° N, 37.829063° E in Stavky, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky1.png
Intersection Location in Stavky: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky2.png
Stavky Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Stavky3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/As9xRqw7yvEiQGSh8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Обсяг
$128,252Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have launched a counteroffensive operation called Vivaldi in the Lyman direction of northern Donetsk Oblast, clearing Russian infiltration groups from dozens of square kilometers and recapturing additional territory while disrupting enemy logistics. Russian claims of seizing Stavky and nearby settlements have been rejected by Ukrainian commanders as staged infiltrations quickly neutralized by defending units. Russian offensive operations near Lyman and Stavky continue without documented advances, amid reports of Ukrainian counterattacks that threaten Russian positions in the sector. These developments align with the broader pattern of incremental Russian pressure met by effective Ukrainian defensive and localized offensive actions around key eastern strongholds. Scheduled fighting and any shifts in Russian force allocation or Ukrainian reinforcements in the coming weeks could influence control over the specific intersection referenced in the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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