**Russian forces captured the village of Kamianske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in July 2025, and Ukrainian troops have since held only limited positions on the northern and northeastern outskirts amid ongoing clashes.** Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces statements in 2025 described the settlement as split, with Russian units destroying central positions through artillery and airstrikes, prompting tactical Ukrainian withdrawals while denying full enemy control. By mid-2026, open-source mapping and military reporting showed Russian consolidation in the area, supported by advances toward nearby settlements like Plavni and Stepnohirsk. Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere in Zaporizhzhia since January 2026 produced territorial gains exceeding 400 square kilometers in other sectors, yet no verified re-entry into Kamianske has occurred. Ukrainian Air Force strikes on Russian positions in the village, including AASM HAMMER munitions in August 2026, have targeted logistics and troop concentrations but have not altered ground control. Trader consensus on the market reflects these frontline realities, with short resolution windows through September 2026 limiting upside for Ukrainian re-entry absent a major, confirmed breakthrough on ISW mapping. The situation remains dynamic, with Russian pressure continuing and Ukrainian forces prioritizing defensive stabilization and targeted operations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?
$85,898 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
6%
$85,898 Обс.
September 30
$18,720 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.**Russian forces captured the village of Kamianske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in July 2025, and Ukrainian troops have since held only limited positions on the northern and northeastern outskirts amid ongoing clashes.** Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces statements in 2025 described the settlement as split, with Russian units destroying central positions through artillery and airstrikes, prompting tactical Ukrainian withdrawals while denying full enemy control.
By mid-2026, open-source mapping and military reporting showed Russian consolidation in the area, supported by advances toward nearby settlements like Plavni and Stepnohirsk. Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere in Zaporizhzhia since January 2026 produced territorial gains exceeding 400 square kilometers in other sectors, yet no verified re-entry into Kamianske has occurred. Ukrainian Air Force strikes on Russian positions in the village, including AASM HAMMER munitions in August 2026, have targeted logistics and troop concentrations but have not altered ground control.
Trader consensus on the market reflects these frontline realities, with short resolution windows through September 2026 limiting upside for Ukrainian re-entry absent a major, confirmed breakthrough on ISW mapping. The situation remains dynamic, with Russian pressure continuing and Ukrainian forces prioritizing defensive stabilization and targeted operations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 9:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$85,898Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 9:43 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.**Russian forces captured the village of Kamianske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in July 2025, and Ukrainian troops have since held only limited positions on the northern and northeastern outskirts amid ongoing clashes.** Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces statements in 2025 described the settlement as split, with Russian units destroying central positions through artillery and airstrikes, prompting tactical Ukrainian withdrawals while denying full enemy control.
By mid-2026, open-source mapping and military reporting showed Russian consolidation in the area, supported by advances toward nearby settlements like Plavni and Stepnohirsk. Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere in Zaporizhzhia since January 2026 produced territorial gains exceeding 400 square kilometers in other sectors, yet no verified re-entry into Kamianske has occurred. Ukrainian Air Force strikes on Russian positions in the village, including AASM HAMMER munitions in August 2026, have targeted logistics and troop concentrations but have not altered ground control.
Trader consensus on the market reflects these frontline realities, with short resolution windows through September 2026 limiting upside for Ukrainian re-entry absent a major, confirmed breakthrough on ISW mapping. The situation remains dynamic, with Russian pressure continuing and Ukrainian forces prioritizing defensive stabilization and targeted operations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kamianske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.543151° N, 35.368104° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Обсяг
$85,898Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 9:43 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Russian forces captured the village of Kamianske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in July 2025, and Ukrainian troops have since held only limited positions on the northern and northeastern outskirts amid ongoing clashes.** Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces statements in 2025 described the settlement as split, with Russian units destroying central positions through artillery and airstrikes, prompting tactical Ukrainian withdrawals while denying full enemy control. By mid-2026, open-source mapping and military reporting showed Russian consolidation in the area, supported by advances toward nearby settlements like Plavni and Stepnohirsk. Ukrainian counteroffensives elsewhere in Zaporizhzhia since January 2026 produced territorial gains exceeding 400 square kilometers in other sectors, yet no verified re-entry into Kamianske has occurred. Ukrainian Air Force strikes on Russian positions in the village, including AASM HAMMER munitions in August 2026, have targeted logistics and troop concentrations but have not altered ground control. Trader consensus on the market reflects these frontline realities, with short resolution windows through September 2026 limiting upside for Ukrainian re-entry absent a major, confirmed breakthrough on ISW mapping. The situation remains dynamic, with Russian pressure continuing and Ukrainian forces prioritizing defensive stabilization and targeted operations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання