Heightened U.S. sanctions, secondary tariffs on oil shipments, and designations targeting Cuban entities have intensified economic pressure on Havana throughout 2026, while earlier Pentagon reviews of military options and increased surveillance flights did not lead to action. President Trump labeled Cuba a failed state at the UN General Assembly in September, prompting a Cuban walkout, yet Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated openness to talks conditioned on political transition and reforms. Negotiations have remained stalled amid ongoing blockades and protests, but no invasion or large-scale operation has occurred. Traders view sustained diplomatic and sanctions-focused approaches, alongside competing priorities like the Iran conflict, as outweighing the risks of direct military engagement before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
6% шанс
$3,369,015 Обс.
$3,369,015 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Так
6% шанс
$3,369,015 Обс.
$3,369,015 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Heightened U.S. sanctions, secondary tariffs on oil shipments, and designations targeting Cuban entities have intensified economic pressure on Havana throughout 2026, while earlier Pentagon reviews of military options and increased surveillance flights did not lead to action. President Trump labeled Cuba a failed state at the UN General Assembly in September, prompting a Cuban walkout, yet Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated openness to talks conditioned on political transition and reforms. Negotiations have remained stalled amid ongoing blockades and protests, but no invasion or large-scale operation has occurred. Traders view sustained diplomatic and sanctions-focused approaches, alongside competing priorities like the Iran conflict, as outweighing the risks of direct military engagement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,369,015Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Heightened U.S. sanctions, secondary tariffs on oil shipments, and designations targeting Cuban entities have intensified economic pressure on Havana throughout 2026, while earlier Pentagon reviews of military options and increased surveillance flights did not lead to action. President Trump labeled Cuba a failed state at the UN General Assembly in September, prompting a Cuban walkout, yet Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated openness to talks conditioned on political transition and reforms. Negotiations have remained stalled amid ongoing blockades and protests, but no invasion or large-scale operation has occurred. Traders view sustained diplomatic and sanctions-focused approaches, alongside competing priorities like the Iran conflict, as outweighing the risks of direct military engagement before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070be91...Heightened U.S. sanctions, secondary tariffs on oil shipments, and designations targeting Cuban entities have intensified economic pressure on Havana throughout 2026, while earlier Pentagon reviews of military options and increased surveillance flights did not lead to action. President Trump labeled Cuba a failed state at the UN General Assembly in September, prompting a Cuban walkout, yet Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated openness to talks conditioned on political transition and reforms. Negotiations have remained stalled amid ongoing blockades and protests, but no invasion or large-scale operation has occurred. Traders view sustained diplomatic and sanctions-focused approaches, alongside competing priorities like the Iran conflict, as outweighing the risks of direct military engagement before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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