Pentagon officials have accelerated contingency planning for potential military operations in Cuba following a White House directive, as reported in recent days, amid President Trump's public hints at action similar to recent interventions in Iran and Venezuela. This escalation follows a U.S. naval blockade imposed in March 2026 to halt oil imports, exacerbating Cuba's energy crisis, blackouts, and humanitarian strains, while Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed readiness to repel any invasion on the Bay of Pigs anniversary. Allies like Russia and Mexico have defied the blockade by delivering fuel, prompting U.S. surveillance drone missions near Havana and Guantánamo. Traders should monitor for executive orders, troop deployments, or diplomatic breakthroughs, as no strikes have occurred and constitutional war powers could constrain rapid action.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоВійськові дії США проти Куби шляхом...?
Військові дії США проти Куби шляхом...?
$3,128,595 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
31 грудня
42%
$3,128,595 Обс.
31 грудня
$949,490 Обс.
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Pentagon officials have accelerated contingency planning for potential military operations in Cuba following a White House directive, as reported in recent days, amid President Trump's public hints at action similar to recent interventions in Iran and Venezuela. This escalation follows a U.S. naval blockade imposed in March 2026 to halt oil imports, exacerbating Cuba's energy crisis, blackouts, and humanitarian strains, while Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed readiness to repel any invasion on the Bay of Pigs anniversary. Allies like Russia and Mexico have defied the blockade by delivering fuel, prompting U.S. surveillance drone missions near Havana and Guantánamo. Traders should monitor for executive orders, troop deployments, or diplomatic breakthroughs, as no strikes have occurred and constitutional war powers could constrain rapid action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,128,595Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Pentagon officials have accelerated contingency planning for potential military operations in Cuba following a White House directive, as reported in recent days, amid President Trump's public hints at action similar to recent interventions in Iran and Venezuela. This escalation follows a U.S. naval blockade imposed in March 2026 to halt oil imports, exacerbating Cuba's energy crisis, blackouts, and humanitarian strains, while Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed readiness to repel any invasion on the Bay of Pigs anniversary. Allies like Russia and Mexico have defied the blockade by delivering fuel, prompting U.S. surveillance drone missions near Havana and Guantánamo. Traders should monitor for executive orders, troop deployments, or diplomatic breakthroughs, as no strikes have occurred and constitutional war powers could constrain rapid action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Cuba is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Обсяг
$3,128,595Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pentagon officials have accelerated contingency planning for potential military operations in Cuba following a White House directive, as reported in recent days, amid President Trump's public hints at action similar to recent interventions in Iran and Venezuela. This escalation follows a U.S. naval blockade imposed in March 2026 to halt oil imports, exacerbating Cuba's energy crisis, blackouts, and humanitarian strains, while Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel vowed readiness to repel any invasion on the Bay of Pigs anniversary. Allies like Russia and Mexico have defied the blockade by delivering fuel, prompting U.S. surveillance drone missions near Havana and Guantánamo. Traders should monitor for executive orders, troop deployments, or diplomatic breakthroughs, as no strikes have occurred and constitutional war powers could constrain rapid action.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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