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Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Market icon

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

2% шанс
Polymarket

$76,974 Обс.

2% шанс
Polymarket

$76,974 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.5% that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, driven by the absence of any credible reports, rumors, or official signals of marital discord in state-controlled Chinese media. Xi and first lady Peng Liyuan, married since 1987, continue joint public appearances, including a welcoming banquet for international dignitaries last week and hosting South Korea's president earlier this year, underscoring their stable public image essential to leadership stability. In China's opaque political system, personal matters of top officials like the paramount leader face immense institutional barriers to publicity or change. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events such as severe health crises or unprecedented political upheaval, though none are evident.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Обсяг
$76,974
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 98.5% that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, driven by the absence of any credible reports, rumors, or official signals of marital discord in state-controlled Chinese media. Xi and first lady Peng Liyuan, married since 1987, continue joint public appearances, including a welcoming banquet for international dignitaries last week and hosting South Korea's president earlier this year, underscoring their stable public image essential to leadership stability. In China's opaque political system, personal matters of top officials like the paramount leader face immense institutional barriers to publicity or change. Realistic shifts would require extraordinary events such as severe health crises or unprecedented political upheaval, though none are evident.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Обсяг
$76,974
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 2% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 2¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 2%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?» згенерував $77K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 30, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?» — 2% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 2% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.