Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s entrenched position in the AI boom. Sergey Brin trails at 27.6% as his co-founder’s fortunes remain closely tied to the same Google parent. Recent volatility has lifted Michael Dell briefly into second place on surging Dell Technologies shares driven by AI data-center demand, explaining his 21.5% odds and those of nearby contenders like Jensen Huang. Broader tech gains have pushed legacy figures such as Warren Buffett and Bernard Arnault lower in trader consensus, while end-of-year stock swings and AI sector momentum remain the key swing factors through December.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2nd richest person on December 31?
2nd richest person on December 31?
Larry Page 48%
Michael Dell 44%
Sergey Brin 26.8%
Steve Ballmer 22.4%
$46,108 KL.
$46,108 KL.
Mar 30, 2026
Larry Page
68%
Michael Dell
44%
Sergey Brin
27%
Steve Ballmer
22%
Jensen Huang
22%
Warren Buffett
21%
Bernard Arnault
12%
Mark Zuckerberg
10%
Larry Ellison
10%
Jeff Bezos
8%
Elon Musk
6%
Larry Page 48%
Michael Dell 44%
Sergey Brin 26.8%
Steve Ballmer 22.4%
$46,108 KL.
$46,108 KL.
Mar 30, 2026
Larry Page
$21,066 KL.
68%
Michael Dell
$0 KL.
44%
Sergey Brin
$7,498 KL.
27%
Steve Ballmer
$1,193 KL.
22%
Jensen Huang
$1,410 KL.
22%
Warren Buffett
$1,887 KL.
21%
Bernard Arnault
$905 KL.
12%
Mark Zuckerberg
$595 KL.
10%
Larry Ellison
$913 KL.
10%
Jeff Bezos
$9,746 KL.
8%
Elon Musk
$896 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s entrenched position in the AI boom. Sergey Brin trails at 27.6% as his co-founder’s fortunes remain closely tied to the same Google parent. Recent volatility has lifted Michael Dell briefly into second place on surging Dell Technologies shares driven by AI data-center demand, explaining his 21.5% odds and those of nearby contenders like Jensen Huang. Broader tech gains have pushed legacy figures such as Warren Buffett and Bernard Arnault lower in trader consensus, while end-of-year stock swings and AI sector momentum remain the key swing factors through December.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$46,108Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s entrenched position in the AI boom. Sergey Brin trails at 27.6% as his co-founder’s fortunes remain closely tied to the same Google parent. Recent volatility has lifted Michael Dell briefly into second place on surging Dell Technologies shares driven by AI data-center demand, explaining his 21.5% odds and those of nearby contenders like Jensen Huang. Broader tech gains have pushed legacy figures such as Warren Buffett and Bernard Arnault lower in trader consensus, while end-of-year stock swings and AI sector momentum remain the key swing factors through December.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Khối lượng
$46,108Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Larry Page holds the strongest market-implied odds at 66% to finish 2026 as the world’s second-richest person, reflecting his current #2 ranking behind Elon Musk and Alphabet’s entrenched position in the AI boom. Sergey Brin trails at 27.6% as his co-founder’s fortunes remain closely tied to the same Google parent. Recent volatility has lifted Michael Dell briefly into second place on surging Dell Technologies shares driven by AI data-center demand, explaining his 21.5% odds and those of nearby contenders like Jensen Huang. Broader tech gains have pushed legacy figures such as Warren Buffett and Bernard Arnault lower in trader consensus, while end-of-year stock swings and AI sector momentum remain the key swing factors through December.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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