Canada’s next federal general election is fixed for no later than October 15, 2029, following the 2025 vote that produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. An earlier dissolution remains possible if the government loses a confidence vote or the prime minister advises the governor general to call one, yet no such trigger has materialized. Recent activity centers on three federal by-elections set for August 31, 2026, and routine legislative business, with no reported opposition motions or supply defeats that would force an immediate contest. Trader pricing on early-call dates in 2026 reflects the absence of acute parliamentary instability or strategic incentives for a snap vote, while the fixed-date framework and historical patterns of minority governments lasting their term continue to anchor expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$92,564 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
8%
$92,564 KL.
December 31, 2026
$907 KL.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s next federal general election is fixed for no later than October 15, 2029, following the 2025 vote that produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. An earlier dissolution remains possible if the government loses a confidence vote or the prime minister advises the governor general to call one, yet no such trigger has materialized. Recent activity centers on three federal by-elections set for August 31, 2026, and routine legislative business, with no reported opposition motions or supply defeats that would force an immediate contest. Trader pricing on early-call dates in 2026 reflects the absence of acute parliamentary instability or strategic incentives for a snap vote, while the fixed-date framework and historical patterns of minority governments lasting their term continue to anchor expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$92,564Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Canada’s next federal general election is fixed for no later than October 15, 2029, following the 2025 vote that produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. An earlier dissolution remains possible if the government loses a confidence vote or the prime minister advises the governor general to call one, yet no such trigger has materialized. Recent activity centers on three federal by-elections set for August 31, 2026, and routine legislative business, with no reported opposition motions or supply defeats that would force an immediate contest. Trader pricing on early-call dates in 2026 reflects the absence of acute parliamentary instability or strategic incentives for a snap vote, while the fixed-date framework and historical patterns of minority governments lasting their term continue to anchor expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$92,564Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s next federal general election is fixed for no later than October 15, 2029, following the 2025 vote that produced a Liberal minority government under Prime Minister Mark Carney. An earlier dissolution remains possible if the government loses a confidence vote or the prime minister advises the governor general to call one, yet no such trigger has materialized. Recent activity centers on three federal by-elections set for August 31, 2026, and routine legislative business, with no reported opposition motions or supply defeats that would force an immediate contest. Trader pricing on early-call dates in 2026 reflects the absence of acute parliamentary instability or strategic incentives for a snap vote, while the fixed-date framework and historical patterns of minority governments lasting their term continue to anchor expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp