Incumbent BJP's commanding 96% implied probability as Assam Legislative Assembly election winner stems from pre- and post-polling opinion surveys projecting a landslide for the BJP-led NDA, potentially exceeding 90 of 126 seats needed for majority government. High voter turnout of 84% on April 9 reinforced CM Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity amid welfare schemes, infrastructure gains, and opposition fragmentation—Congress defections like Pradyut Bordoloi weakened INC, while AIUDF split Muslim votes. BJP consolidated Hindu, OBC, and tea tribe support in upper Assam strongholds. Results counting awaits May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or recounts could challenge, though unlikely given historical trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAssam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
BJP 96.2%
INC 2.8%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$63,544 KL.
$63,544 KL.
May 20, 2026
BJP
96%
INC
3%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
CPI
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 96.2%
INC 2.8%
AITC <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$63,544 KL.
$63,544 KL.
May 20, 2026
BJP
$12,412 KL.
96%
INC
$7,641 KL.
3%
AITC
$4,697 KL.
<1%
CPI(M)
$5,029 KL.
<1%
NCP
$4,401 KL.
<1%
AIUDF
$5,115 KL.
<1%
BPF
$4,656 KL.
<1%
CPI
$9,352 KL.
<1%
NPEP
$5,401 KL.
<1%
AGP
$4,840 KL.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent BJP's commanding 96% implied probability as Assam Legislative Assembly election winner stems from pre- and post-polling opinion surveys projecting a landslide for the BJP-led NDA, potentially exceeding 90 of 126 seats needed for majority government. High voter turnout of 84% on April 9 reinforced CM Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity amid welfare schemes, infrastructure gains, and opposition fragmentation—Congress defections like Pradyut Bordoloi weakened INC, while AIUDF split Muslim votes. BJP consolidated Hindu, OBC, and tea tribe support in upper Assam strongholds. Results counting awaits May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or recounts could challenge, though unlikely given historical trends.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Khối lượng
$63,544Ngày kết thúc
Apr 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Incumbent BJP's commanding 96% implied probability as Assam Legislative Assembly election winner stems from pre- and post-polling opinion surveys projecting a landslide for the BJP-led NDA, potentially exceeding 90 of 126 seats needed for majority government. High voter turnout of 84% on April 9 reinforced CM Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity amid welfare schemes, infrastructure gains, and opposition fragmentation—Congress defections like Pradyut Bordoloi weakened INC, while AIUDF split Muslim votes. BJP consolidated Hindu, OBC, and tea tribe support in upper Assam strongholds. Results counting awaits May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or recounts could challenge, though unlikely given historical trends.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Khối lượng
$63,544Ngày kết thúc
Apr 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent BJP's commanding 96% implied probability as Assam Legislative Assembly election winner stems from pre- and post-polling opinion surveys projecting a landslide for the BJP-led NDA, potentially exceeding 90 of 126 seats needed for majority government. High voter turnout of 84% on April 9 reinforced CM Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity amid welfare schemes, infrastructure gains, and opposition fragmentation—Congress defections like Pradyut Bordoloi weakened INC, while AIUDF split Muslim votes. BJP consolidated Hindu, OBC, and tea tribe support in upper Assam strongholds. Results counting awaits May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or recounts could challenge, though unlikely given historical trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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