Jay Feely leads the AZ-01 Republican primary field with strong trader consensus due to President Trump's January 2026 endorsement and superior fundraising that has exceeded $725,000 plus personal loans. As a former NFL player with high name recognition in the district, Feely benefits from early consolidation of support in this open-seat contest to replace Rep. David Schweikert. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time, remains the clearest alternative but trails amid lower resources and criticism over missed votes. The July 21 primary timeline leaves room for shifts from further endorsements or turnout dynamics among Republican voters in the competitive district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng sơ bộ của đảng Cộng hòa AZ-01
Người chiến thắng sơ bộ của đảng Cộng hòa AZ-01
Jay Feely 77%
Joseph Chaplik 12.9%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita 1.0%
John Trobough <1%
$424,650 KL.
$424,650 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
Jay Feely
77%
Joseph Chaplik
16%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
1%
John Trobough
1%
Matt Gress
1%
Jason Duey
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Todd Graham
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Gina Swoboda
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
<1%
Jay Feely 77%
Joseph Chaplik 12.9%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita 1.0%
John Trobough <1%
$424,650 KL.
$424,650 KL.
Aug 4, 2026
Jay Feely
$8,407 KL.
77%
Joseph Chaplik
$10,601 KL.
16%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
$5,231 KL.
1%
John Trobough
$3,940 KL.
1%
Matt Gress
$48,962 KL.
1%
Jason Duey
$3,396 KL.
<1%
Brandon Sowers
$11,495 KL.
<1%
Todd Graham
$8,074 KL.
<1%
Kari Lake
$7,617 KL.
<1%
Derrick Gallego
$3,932 KL.
<1%
Gina Swoboda
$5,092 KL.
<1%
Paul Reevs
$223,242 KL.
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
$10,720 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads the AZ-01 Republican primary field with strong trader consensus due to President Trump's January 2026 endorsement and superior fundraising that has exceeded $725,000 plus personal loans. As a former NFL player with high name recognition in the district, Feely benefits from early consolidation of support in this open-seat contest to replace Rep. David Schweikert. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time, remains the clearest alternative but trails amid lower resources and criticism over missed votes. The July 21 primary timeline leaves room for shifts from further endorsements or turnout dynamics among Republican voters in the competitive district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Khối lượng
$424,650Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads the AZ-01 Republican primary field with strong trader consensus due to President Trump's January 2026 endorsement and superior fundraising that has exceeded $725,000 plus personal loans. As a former NFL player with high name recognition in the district, Feely benefits from early consolidation of support in this open-seat contest to replace Rep. David Schweikert. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time, remains the clearest alternative but trails amid lower resources and criticism over missed votes. The July 21 primary timeline leaves room for shifts from further endorsements or turnout dynamics among Republican voters in the competitive district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$424,650Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely leads the AZ-01 Republican primary field with strong trader consensus due to President Trump's January 2026 endorsement and superior fundraising that has exceeded $725,000 plus personal loans. As a former NFL player with high name recognition in the district, Feely benefits from early consolidation of support in this open-seat contest to replace Rep. David Schweikert. State Rep. Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time, remains the clearest alternative but trails amid lower resources and criticism over missed votes. The July 21 primary timeline leaves room for shifts from further endorsements or turnout dynamics among Republican voters in the competitive district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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