Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation, leads trader pricing at 66% due to her broad coalition “O Pará tá junto,” incumbency advantages, and ongoing campaign events including walks and mobilization acts through late September. Dr. Daniel Santos (PODEMOS) sits at 34.5% as the main challenger, drawing support from right-leaning parties and strong showings in some recent polls, though he trails in others amid high undecided shares earlier in the cycle. Minor candidates including Araceli (PSOL), Gal Leite (UP), Ruth Reis (Democrata), and Well Macedo (PSTU) register negligible probabilities given limited polling traction and fragmented opposition. With the first round set for October 4 and possible runoff on October 25, recent candidate registration finalization and daily campaign activity reinforce the frontrunner dynamic in market assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHana Ghassan 68%
Dr. Daniel Santos 32%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$53,135 KL.
$53,135 KL.
Jun 30, 2027
Hana Ghassan
68%
Dr. Daniel Santos
32%
Éder Mauro
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Hana Ghassan 68%
Dr. Daniel Santos 32%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$53,135 KL.
$53,135 KL.
Jun 30, 2027
Hana Ghassan
$19,908 KL.
68%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$13,861 KL.
32%
Éder Mauro
$5,908 KL.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$3,372 KL.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$3,423 KL.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$3,405 KL.
<1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$3,259 KL.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation, leads trader pricing at 66% due to her broad coalition “O Pará tá junto,” incumbency advantages, and ongoing campaign events including walks and mobilization acts through late September. Dr. Daniel Santos (PODEMOS) sits at 34.5% as the main challenger, drawing support from right-leaning parties and strong showings in some recent polls, though he trails in others amid high undecided shares earlier in the cycle. Minor candidates including Araceli (PSOL), Gal Leite (UP), Ruth Reis (Democrata), and Well Macedo (PSTU) register negligible probabilities given limited polling traction and fragmented opposition. With the first round set for October 4 and possible runoff on October 25, recent candidate registration finalization and daily campaign activity reinforce the frontrunner dynamic in market assessments.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$53,135Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation, leads trader pricing at 66% due to her broad coalition “O Pará tá junto,” incumbency advantages, and ongoing campaign events including walks and mobilization acts through late September. Dr. Daniel Santos (PODEMOS) sits at 34.5% as the main challenger, drawing support from right-leaning parties and strong showings in some recent polls, though he trails in others amid high undecided shares earlier in the cycle. Minor candidates including Araceli (PSOL), Gal Leite (UP), Ruth Reis (Democrata), and Well Macedo (PSTU) register negligible probabilities given limited polling traction and fragmented opposition. With the first round set for October 4 and possible runoff on October 25, recent candidate registration finalization and daily campaign activity reinforce the frontrunner dynamic in market assessments.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$53,135Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho’s resignation, leads trader pricing at 66% due to her broad coalition “O Pará tá junto,” incumbency advantages, and ongoing campaign events including walks and mobilization acts through late September. Dr. Daniel Santos (PODEMOS) sits at 34.5% as the main challenger, drawing support from right-leaning parties and strong showings in some recent polls, though he trails in others amid high undecided shares earlier in the cycle. Minor candidates including Araceli (PSOL), Gal Leite (UP), Ruth Reis (Democrata), and Well Macedo (PSTU) register negligible probabilities given limited polling traction and fragmented opposition. With the first round set for October 4 and possible runoff on October 25, recent candidate registration finalization and daily campaign activity reinforce the frontrunner dynamic in market assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp