Recent polling aggregates place President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro far ahead in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with writer Augusto Cury, former Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado, and activist Renan Santos clustered in the low single digits behind them. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation in the center-right lane, where Caiado’s established profile and party infrastructure compete against Cury’s rapid social-media-driven gains and Renan’s appeal among younger voters. The narrow spreads among these three candidates stem from limited polling precision for lower-tier contenders and the absence of a consolidated alternative to the two frontrunners. Remaining debates, final advertising allocations, and differential turnout in key regions could still reorder the lower rankings before ballots close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRonaldo Caiado 31%
Pablo Marçal 24%
Renan Santos 23%
Augusto Cury 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 3, 2026
Ronaldo Caiado
47%
Pablo Marçal
24%
Renan Santos
23%
Augusto Cury
24%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
14%
Zema
9%
Hertz Dias
6%
Samara
6%
Clariana Barao
5%
Edmilson Costa
5%
Rui Costa Pimenta
5%
Flavio Bolsonaro
5%
Lula
5%
Ronaldo Caiado 31%
Pablo Marçal 24%
Renan Santos 23%
Augusto Cury 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 3, 2026
Ronaldo Caiado
$58 KL.
47%
Pablo Marçal
$8 KL.
24%
Renan Santos
$17 KL.
23%
Augusto Cury
$31 KL.
24%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$8 KL.
14%
Zema
$8 KL.
9%
Hertz Dias
$8 KL.
6%
Samara
$8 KL.
6%
Clariana Barao
$98 KL.
5%
Edmilson Costa
$98 KL.
5%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$8 KL.
5%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$108 KL.
5%
Lula
$108 KL.
5%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling aggregates place President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro far ahead in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with writer Augusto Cury, former Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado, and activist Renan Santos clustered in the low single digits behind them. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation in the center-right lane, where Caiado’s established profile and party infrastructure compete against Cury’s rapid social-media-driven gains and Renan’s appeal among younger voters. The narrow spreads among these three candidates stem from limited polling precision for lower-tier contenders and the absence of a consolidated alternative to the two frontrunners. Remaining debates, final advertising allocations, and differential turnout in key regions could still reorder the lower rankings before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$566Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling aggregates place President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro far ahead in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with writer Augusto Cury, former Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado, and activist Renan Santos clustered in the low single digits behind them. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation in the center-right lane, where Caiado’s established profile and party infrastructure compete against Cury’s rapid social-media-driven gains and Renan’s appeal among younger voters. The narrow spreads among these three candidates stem from limited polling precision for lower-tier contenders and the absence of a consolidated alternative to the two frontrunners. Remaining debates, final advertising allocations, and differential turnout in key regions could still reorder the lower rankings before ballots close.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$566Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro far ahead in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with writer Augusto Cury, former Goiás Governor Ronaldo Caiado, and activist Renan Santos clustered in the low single digits behind them. Trader pricing reflects this fragmentation in the center-right lane, where Caiado’s established profile and party infrastructure compete against Cury’s rapid social-media-driven gains and Renan’s appeal among younger voters. The narrow spreads among these three candidates stem from limited polling precision for lower-tier contenders and the absence of a consolidated alternative to the two frontrunners. Remaining debates, final advertising allocations, and differential turnout in key regions could still reorder the lower rankings before ballots close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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