Trader consensus reflects an 84.5% implied probability against Rep. Eric Swalwell facing formal criminal charges by May 31, driven by the absence of indictments despite a recent surge in sexual misconduct allegations. Over the past week, multiple women accused the California Democrat of assault and improper conduct toward staff, prompting his resignation from Congress on April 14, suspension of his gubernatorial campaign, and new probes by the Manhattan District Attorney, Los Angeles County sheriff, House Ethics Committee, and reportedly the DOJ. However, these investigations remain in early stages—focused on evidence collection without filed charges—and prior referrals, including a November 2025 mortgage fraud tip to DOJ and decade-old FBI scrutiny over suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang, produced no prosecutions, underscoring procedural hurdles and the tight six-week timeline ahead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 84.5% implied probability against Rep. Eric Swalwell facing formal criminal charges by May 31, driven by the absence of indictments despite a recent surge in sexual misconduct allegations. Over the past week, multiple women accused the California Democrat of assault and improper conduct toward staff, prompting his resignation from Congress on April 14, suspension of his gubernatorial campaign, and new probes by the Manhattan District Attorney, Los Angeles County sheriff, House Ethics Committee, and reportedly the DOJ. However, these investigations remain in early stages—focused on evidence collection without filed charges—and prior referrals, including a November 2025 mortgage fraud tip to DOJ and decade-old FBI scrutiny over suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang, produced no prosecutions, underscoring procedural hurdles and the tight six-week timeline ahead.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$307Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus reflects an 84.5% implied probability against Rep. Eric Swalwell facing formal criminal charges by May 31, driven by the absence of indictments despite a recent surge in sexual misconduct allegations. Over the past week, multiple women accused the California Democrat of assault and improper conduct toward staff, prompting his resignation from Congress on April 14, suspension of his gubernatorial campaign, and new probes by the Manhattan District Attorney, Los Angeles County sheriff, House Ethics Committee, and reportedly the DOJ. However, these investigations remain in early stages—focused on evidence collection without filed charges—and prior referrals, including a November 2025 mortgage fraud tip to DOJ and decade-old FBI scrutiny over suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang, produced no prosecutions, underscoring procedural hurdles and the tight six-week timeline ahead.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Swalwell between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$307Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 14, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects an 84.5% implied probability against Rep. Eric Swalwell facing formal criminal charges by May 31, driven by the absence of indictments despite a recent surge in sexual misconduct allegations. Over the past week, multiple women accused the California Democrat of assault and improper conduct toward staff, prompting his resignation from Congress on April 14, suspension of his gubernatorial campaign, and new probes by the Manhattan District Attorney, Los Angeles County sheriff, House Ethics Committee, and reportedly the DOJ. However, these investigations remain in early stages—focused on evidence collection without filed charges—and prior referrals, including a November 2025 mortgage fraud tip to DOJ and decade-old FBI scrutiny over suspected Chinese operative Christine Fang, produced no prosecutions, underscoring procedural hurdles and the tight six-week timeline ahead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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