Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges in Manhattan federal court following his January 2026 capture, with a June 2027 trial date set after he and his wife pleaded not guilty. Defense motions filed in early September 2026 seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 17, potentially resolving the case before trial. Pretrial litigation, including challenges to jurisdiction and official acts, remains pending alongside a complex evidentiary record spanning decades and multiple alleged co-conspirators. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5% amid these structural barriers and the inherent uncertainty of securing convictions on every count in a high-profile foreign-leader prosecution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật18% khả năng
$132,738 KL.
$132,738 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
18% khả năng
$132,738 KL.
$132,738 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges in Manhattan federal court following his January 2026 capture, with a June 2027 trial date set after he and his wife pleaded not guilty. Defense motions filed in early September 2026 seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 17, potentially resolving the case before trial. Pretrial litigation, including challenges to jurisdiction and official acts, remains pending alongside a complex evidentiary record spanning decades and multiple alleged co-conspirators. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5% amid these structural barriers and the inherent uncertainty of securing convictions on every count in a high-profile foreign-leader prosecution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$132,738Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges in Manhattan federal court following his January 2026 capture, with a June 2027 trial date set after he and his wife pleaded not guilty. Defense motions filed in early September 2026 seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 17, potentially resolving the case before trial. Pretrial litigation, including challenges to jurisdiction and official acts, remains pending alongside a complex evidentiary record spanning decades and multiple alleged co-conspirators. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5% amid these structural barriers and the inherent uncertainty of securing convictions on every count in a high-profile foreign-leader prosecution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$132,738Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges in Manhattan federal court following his January 2026 capture, with a June 2027 trial date set after he and his wife pleaded not guilty. Defense motions filed in early September 2026 seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November 17, potentially resolving the case before trial. Pretrial litigation, including challenges to jurisdiction and official acts, remains pending alongside a complex evidentiary record spanning decades and multiple alleged co-conspirators. Traders price the “No” outcome at 81.5% amid these structural barriers and the inherent uncertainty of securing convictions on every count in a high-profile foreign-leader prosecution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp