The extended pretrial timeline and multiple procedural hurdles in the U.S. Southern District of New York case explain traders' strong preference for "No." Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores were captured in a January 2026 military operation and arraigned on four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy; both pleaded not guilty and intend to challenge the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds plus the legality of their apprehension. A June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026, with motions deadlines and hearings scheduled through late 2026 that could lead to dismissal, severance, or plea negotiations short of convictions on every count. Historical patterns in complex federal conspiracy prosecutions and the possibility of partial verdicts or appeals further support the current 82% implied probability that not all counts will result in guilty findings by the December 2027 resolution deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật18% khả năng
$132,738 KL.
$132,738 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
18% khả năng
$132,738 KL.
$132,738 KL.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended pretrial timeline and multiple procedural hurdles in the U.S. Southern District of New York case explain traders' strong preference for "No." Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores were captured in a January 2026 military operation and arraigned on four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy; both pleaded not guilty and intend to challenge the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds plus the legality of their apprehension. A June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026, with motions deadlines and hearings scheduled through late 2026 that could lead to dismissal, severance, or plea negotiations short of convictions on every count. Historical patterns in complex federal conspiracy prosecutions and the possibility of partial verdicts or appeals further support the current 82% implied probability that not all counts will result in guilty findings by the December 2027 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$132,738Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extended pretrial timeline and multiple procedural hurdles in the U.S. Southern District of New York case explain traders' strong preference for "No." Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores were captured in a January 2026 military operation and arraigned on four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy; both pleaded not guilty and intend to challenge the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds plus the legality of their apprehension. A June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026, with motions deadlines and hearings scheduled through late 2026 that could lead to dismissal, severance, or plea negotiations short of convictions on every count. Historical patterns in complex federal conspiracy prosecutions and the possibility of partial verdicts or appeals further support the current 82% implied probability that not all counts will result in guilty findings by the December 2027 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$132,738Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The extended pretrial timeline and multiple procedural hurdles in the U.S. Southern District of New York case explain traders' strong preference for "No." Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores were captured in a January 2026 military operation and arraigned on four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy; both pleaded not guilty and intend to challenge the indictment on head-of-state immunity grounds plus the legality of their apprehension. A June 2027 trial date was set in July 2026, with motions deadlines and hearings scheduled through late 2026 that could lead to dismissal, severance, or plea negotiations short of convictions on every count. Historical patterns in complex federal conspiracy prosecutions and the possibility of partial verdicts or appeals further support the current 82% implied probability that not all counts will result in guilty findings by the December 2027 resolution deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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