Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models show a cooling trend in Ankara, with highs expected around 25–27°C on September 8 amid clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure. This autumnal shift from early-September peaks near 32°C favors 24°C and 25°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting model consensus on daytime maxima under stable, dry conditions at the city's roughly 900-meter elevation. Minor variations across runs introduce uncertainty around exact peaks, with traders assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 23–25°C range while discounting warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
24°C 58%
23°C 28%
25°C 22%
21°C 7%
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
20%
24°C
58%
25°C
22%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
24°C 58%
23°C 28%
25°C 22%
21°C 7%
19°C or below
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
20%
24°C
58%
25°C
22%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models show a cooling trend in Ankara, with highs expected around 25–27°C on September 8 amid clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and high pressure. This autumnal shift from early-September peaks near 32°C favors 24°C and 25°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting model consensus on daytime maxima under stable, dry conditions at the city's roughly 900-meter elevation. Minor variations across runs introduce uncertainty around exact peaks, with traders assigning the bulk of probability to the narrow 23–25°C range while discounting warmer or cooler extremes. Updated model guidance ahead of the date will refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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