Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on June 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 23?
27°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$110,223 KL.
$110,223 KL.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$110,223 KL.
$110,223 KL.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
$25,544 KL.
No
27°C
$24,519 KL.
Yes
28°C
$10,665 KL.
No
29°C
$10,292 KL.
No
30°C
$12,415 KL.
No
31°C
$10,108 KL.
No
32°C
$8,200 KL.
No
33°C
$3,081 KL.
No
34°C
$3,458 KL.
No
35°C
$1,161 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$781 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$110,223Ngày kết thúc
Jun 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$110,223Ngày kết thúc
Jun 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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