Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on May 6?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,438 KL.
$65,438 KL.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,438 KL.
$65,438 KL.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 12:49 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport station— the official resolution source for this market—confirm Busan's highest temperature reached 22°C midday on May 6 under clear skies and light southwest winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. This mild peak aligns with short-range KMA model consensus projecting 21–27°C highs but tempered by typical early May climatology, where Busan averages 20–23°C amid continental high-pressure influence and sea-breeze moderation. Evening readings have dipped to 20–21°C with falling solar insolation, minimizing further warming. Realistic challenges would require an official data revision uncovering a missed higher peak, though such discrepancies are rare post-midday; traders await the final daily KMA report for closure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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