Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a Dallas high near 100°F on August 3, reflecting typical late-summer ridging with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that supports the market's tight clustering around 98–103°F. Small differences among guidance—some showing 99–101°F while others edge toward 102–103°F—stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, creating the observed probability spread. Historical August averages near 100°F provide climatological context, while official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations will determine resolution. Final model updates and morning forecast discussions from NWS Fort Worth are the next key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on August 3?
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 24%
104-105°F 7%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 24%
104-105°F 7%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a Dallas high near 100°F on August 3, reflecting typical late-summer ridging with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover that supports the market's tight clustering around 98–103°F. Small differences among guidance—some showing 99–101°F while others edge toward 102–103°F—stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing, creating the observed probability spread. Historical August averages near 100°F provide climatological context, while official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations will determine resolution. Final model updates and morning forecast discussions from NWS Fort Worth are the next key data points likely to refine trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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