Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 8?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 8?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,748 KL.
$56,748 KL.
May 8, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$56,748 KL.
$56,748 KL.
May 8, 2026
9°C or below
$3,393 KL.
No
10°C
$1,387 KL.
No
11°C
$3,386 KL.
No
12°C
$2,667 KL.
No
13°C
$6,298 KL.
No
14°C
$11,197 KL.
No
15°C
$7,735 KL.
Yes
16°C
$7,240 KL.
No
17°C
$3,796 KL.
No
18°C
$5,373 KL.
No
19°C or higher
$4,279 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$56,748Ngày kết thúc
May 8, 2026Thị trường mở
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$56,748Ngày kết thúc
May 8, 2026Thị trường mở
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 8 reaching exactly 15°C at the official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station, as reported by the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI). Real-time hourly observations confirm a midday peak of around 14.6–15°C under clear skies, light northwesterly winds (3–5 m/s), and low humidity (23%), followed by rapid cooling to 7–9°C by evening—aligning with early-May climatological norms where daily highs average 13–15°C amid transitional spring patterns. Model consensus from FMI forecasts accurately anticipated this without intensification potential. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions by FMI if sensor anomalies emerge; final daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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