Current National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot Thursday with a forecast high near 100 °F under light southwest flow, roughly 4 °F above the July 30 normal of 96 °F at Houston Intercontinental. Model consensus remains tight on minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105 °F, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (38.5 %) to 96–97 °F. This reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any late sea-breeze influence that could cap the peak 2–4 °F below guidance. Historical July extremes and recent multi-day heat persistence keep 98–101 °F ranges viable but lower-probability outcomes in the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on July 30?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 30?
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 30, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
49%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 49%
94-95°F 31%
98-99°F 16%
92-93°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 30, 2026
87°F or below
$298 KL.
<1%
88-89°F
$28 KL.
1%
90-91°F
$290 KL.
1%
92-93°F
$88 KL.
5%
94-95°F
$115 KL.
31%
96-97°F
$184 KL.
49%
98-99°F
$65 KL.
16%
100-101°F
$75 KL.
4%
102-103°F
$65 KL.
2%
104-105°F
$85 KL.
<1%
106°F or higher
$56 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot Thursday with a forecast high near 100 °F under light southwest flow, roughly 4 °F above the July 30 normal of 96 °F at Houston Intercontinental. Model consensus remains tight on minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105 °F, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (38.5 %) to 96–97 °F. This reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any late sea-breeze influence that could cap the peak 2–4 °F below guidance. Historical July extremes and recent multi-day heat persistence keep 98–101 °F ranges viable but lower-probability outcomes in the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,316Ngày kết thúc
Jul 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot Thursday with a forecast high near 100 °F under light southwest flow, roughly 4 °F above the July 30 normal of 96 °F at Houston Intercontinental. Model consensus remains tight on minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105 °F, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (38.5 %) to 96–97 °F. This reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any late sea-breeze influence that could cap the peak 2–4 °F below guidance. Historical July extremes and recent multi-day heat persistence keep 98–101 °F ranges viable but lower-probability outcomes in the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,316Ngày kết thúc
Jul 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance points to a sunny, hot Thursday with a forecast high near 100 °F under light southwest flow, roughly 4 °F above the July 30 normal of 96 °F at Houston Intercontinental. Model consensus remains tight on minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s, supporting heat indices above 105 °F, yet traders assign the highest implied probability (38.5 %) to 96–97 °F. This reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing depth and any late sea-breeze influence that could cap the peak 2–4 °F below guidance. Historical July extremes and recent multi-day heat persistence keep 98–101 °F ranges viable but lower-probability outcomes in the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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