Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 5?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$94,971 KL.
$94,971 KL.
Jun 5, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$94,971 KL.
$94,971 KL.
Jun 5, 2026
21°C or below
$17,552 KL.
No
22°C
$26,261 KL.
Yes
23°C
$18,573 KL.
No
24°C
$10,419 KL.
No
25°C
$5,685 KL.
No
26°C
$3,901 KL.
No
27°C
$3,256 KL.
No
28°C
$2,130 KL.
No
29°C
$2,218 KL.
No
30°C
$2,489 KL.
No
31°C or higher
$2,485 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Khối lượng
$94,971Ngày kết thúc
Jun 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$94,971Ngày kết thúc
Jun 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 3, 2026, 12:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and converging runs of the ECMWF and GFS models place Istanbul’s maximum temperature for June 5 at exactly 22°C, driving the near-certain market-implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, light winds, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating, consistent with recent observations near 20–21°C and climatological norms for early June in the region. The tight ensemble spread leaves little room for significant deviation, though a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or delayed cloud cover could push readings marginally higher; traders are monitoring the final hourly updates and airport station data for confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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