Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on May 1?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 1?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,271 KL.
$114,271 KL.
May 1, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$114,271 KL.
$114,271 KL.
May 1, 2026
19°C or below
$4,299 KL.
No
20°C
$2,591 KL.
No
21°C
$4,667 KL.
No
22°C
$5,401 KL.
No
23°C
$9,439 KL.
No
24°C
$20,160 KL.
No
25°C
$18,292 KL.
Yes
26°C
$14,895 KL.
No
27°C
$13,619 KL.
No
28°C
$12,228 KL.
No
29°C or higher
$8,682 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Khối lượng
$114,271Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$114,271Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 12:19 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official observations from Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground historical data for station LEMD, confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 1, 2026—locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability with real capital at stake. This outcome reflects mild atmospheric conditions under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Iberia, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and post-morning clearing that enabled steady warming from early lows around 12°C, aligning precisely with AEMET's finalized daily summaries and pre-event ECMWF model ensembles projecting 24-26°C highs. Early May climatology supports such moderate peaks, averaging 22-24°C historically. Scenarios challenging this include sensor recalibration revisions or METAR data disputes, though official validations render them highly improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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