Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on May 9?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 9?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,253 KL.
$38,253 KL.
May 9, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,253 KL.
$38,253 KL.
May 9, 2026
30°C or below
$938 KL.
No
31°C
$2,803 KL.
No
32°C
$3,296 KL.
No
33°C
$4,759 KL.
No
34°C
$4,837 KL.
No
35°C
$4,314 KL.
No
36°C
$3,987 KL.
No
37°C
$5,877 KL.
Yes
38°C
$3,428 KL.
No
39°C
$2,298 KL.
No
40°C or higher
$1,716 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$38,253Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$38,253Ngày kết thúc
May 9, 2026Thị trường mở
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp