Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 11?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$159,803 KL.
$159,803 KL.
May 11, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$159,803 KL.
$159,803 KL.
May 11, 2026
53°F or below
$2,149 KL.
No
54-55°F
$2,235 KL.
No
56-57°F
$1,849 KL.
No
58-59°F
$6,321 KL.
No
60-61°F
$46,135 KL.
Yes
62-63°F
$28,054 KL.
No
64-65°F
$17,810 KL.
No
66-67°F
$15,249 KL.
No
68-69°F
$10,014 KL.
No
70-71°F
$21,165 KL.
No
72°F or higher
$8,821 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$159,803Ngày kết thúc
May 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$159,803Ngày kết thúc
May 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 9, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park—the standard station for New York City highs—confirm the maximum temperature reached 60°F on May 11, 2026, at approximately 5:51 p.m., driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 60-61°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover and a stable boundary layer, as noted in post-event summaries, suppressed heating below pre-event forecast models projecting mid-60s peaks, well under the climatological May 11 normal of 70°F. This verified measurement aligns with hourly data releases, leaving minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from NWS quality controls, such as sensor recalibration, though such adjustments post-preliminary reports are exceptional. No further updates expected as the market nears resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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