Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 26?
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$119,651 KL.
$119,651 KL.
May 26, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$119,651 KL.
$119,651 KL.
May 26, 2026
65°F or below
$3,072 KL.
No
66-67°F
$2,217 KL.
No
68-69°F
$2,445 KL.
No
70-71°F
$6,107 KL.
No
72-73°F
$3,789 KL.
No
74-75°F
$23,101 KL.
No
76-77°F
$6,701 KL.
No
78-79°F
$24,950 KL.
No
80-81°F
$15,771 KL.
Yes
82-83°F
$15,392 KL.
No
84°F or higher
$16,105 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$119,651Ngày kết thúc
May 26, 2026Thị trường mở
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$119,651Ngày kết thúc
May 26, 2026Thị trường mở
May 24, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders have aligned at 100% implied probability on the 80–81°F bin following official National Weather Service observations confirming that daily maximum at Central Park, New York City’s primary measurement site. Moderate southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and standard May boundary-layer mixing produced afternoon warming that matched NOAA model consensus without exceeding expectations for intensification. This market-implied outcome aggregates real-capital assessments of verified data rather than projections. Only rare post-observation adjustments, such as station calibration revisions or official record corrections, could realistically alter resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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