Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on June 23?
Highest temperature in Seattle on June 23?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,337 KL.
$71,337 KL.
Jun 23, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,337 KL.
$71,337 KL.
Jun 23, 2026
79°F or below
$432 KL.
No
80-81°F
$2,320 KL.
No
82-83°F
$2,723 KL.
No
84-85°F
$8,653 KL.
No
86-87°F
$10,451 KL.
No
88-89°F
$12,687 KL.
Yes
90-91°F
$12,506 KL.
No
92-93°F
$18,051 KL.
No
94-95°F
$2,300 KL.
No
96-97°F
$506 KL.
No
98°F or higher
$708 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$71,337Ngày kết thúc
Jun 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$71,337Ngày kết thúc
Jun 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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