Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a high near 32–33°C for August 29 under prevailing southwest monsoon flow with southeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and a moderate chance of afternoon thundery showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with the month’s above-average temperatures so far, including multiple days exceeding 33°C, though typical late-August maxima average 31.4°C. The market’s strong implied probability for 33°C (68.5%) versus 32°C (26.5%) and only modest odds for 34°C reflects trader consensus on official guidance and model runs, tempered by uncertainty around exact cloud cover, shower timing, and localized variability across observation stations. Newer model updates or afternoon observations could shift resolution odds if showers develop earlier than expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on August 29?
33°C 69%
32°C 27%
34°C 6%
31°C 2%
$12,146 KL.
$12,146 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
27%
33°C
69%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 69%
32°C 27%
34°C 6%
31°C 2%
$12,146 KL.
$12,146 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
27%
33°C
69%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and the Meteorological Service Singapore indicate a high near 32–33°C for August 29 under prevailing southwest monsoon flow with southeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and a moderate chance of afternoon thundery showers that could limit peak heating. These conditions align with the month’s above-average temperatures so far, including multiple days exceeding 33°C, though typical late-August maxima average 31.4°C. The market’s strong implied probability for 33°C (68.5%) versus 32°C (26.5%) and only modest odds for 34°C reflects trader consensus on official guidance and model runs, tempered by uncertainty around exact cloud cover, shower timing, and localized variability across observation stations. Newer model updates or afternoon observations could shift resolution odds if showers develop earlier than expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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