Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 4?
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 20%
34°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
14%
35°C
20%
36°C
31%
37°C
27%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
4%
37°C 37%
36°C 31%
35°C 20%
34°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
30°C
$10 KL.
<1%
31°C
$40 KL.
<1%
32°C
$61 KL.
2%
33°C
$25 KL.
5%
34°C
$60 KL.
14%
35°C
$20 KL.
20%
36°C
$78 KL.
31%
37°C
$38 KL.
27%
38°C
$173 KL.
4%
39°C or higher
$153 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$659Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$659Ngày kết thúc
Aug 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime maximum of 26–34°C for Taipei on August 4, amid typical early-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and low (10%) precipitation probability. Recent days reached 35–36°C, illustrating how urban heat-island effects and variable insolation can elevate readings above climatological averages near 32–34°C. With multiple global and regional models showing modest spread on peak heating, traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 36°C (31%) and 37°C (27.5%) brackets, underscoring uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima and any minor steering-pattern shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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