Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate overnight lows near 28°C (82–83°F) for Karachi on September 26, driven by persistent warm Arabian Sea circulation that has weakened the moderating southwesterly sea breeze and sustained elevated humidity levels above 75%. This follows a late-September heat anomaly, including a 40.7°C daytime peak on September 21 that exceeded recent norms. Historical climatology places typical minimums around 26–27°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover favor slightly higher readings, creating tight market spreads around the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on the official station's lowest hourly observation, with traders weighing potential minor cooling from shifting winds or increased moisture against the entrenched warm anomaly. Updated PMD guidance and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Karachi on September 26?
22°C or below 99%
32°C or higher 99%
28°C 40%
23°C 39%
22°C or below
99%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
20%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
99%
22°C or below 99%
32°C or higher 99%
28°C 40%
23°C 39%
22°C or below
99%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
20%
27°C
21%
28°C
40%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models indicate overnight lows near 28°C (82–83°F) for Karachi on September 26, driven by persistent warm Arabian Sea circulation that has weakened the moderating southwesterly sea breeze and sustained elevated humidity levels above 75%. This follows a late-September heat anomaly, including a 40.7°C daytime peak on September 21 that exceeded recent norms. Historical climatology places typical minimums around 26–27°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover favor slightly higher readings, creating tight market spreads around the 28°C threshold. Resolution hinges on the official station's lowest hourly observation, with traders weighing potential minor cooling from shifting winds or increased moisture against the entrenched warm anomaly. Updated PMD guidance and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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