Official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with southerly winds and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling, positioning the August 3 minimum in NYC near 75°F. Model consensus and recent guidance show steady temperatures around 77°F during the day transitioning to lows in the mid-70s, consistent with above-average August climatology and limited cold advection. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 74–77°F bins as these align with current ensemble runs and short-term guidance, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent unexpected frontal passages or clearer skies that could alter cooling rates. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 3?
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 12%
72-73°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 31%
78-79°F 12%
72-73°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 3, 2026
65°F or below
$105 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$35 KL.
1%
68-69°F
$154 KL.
1%
70-71°F
$140 KL.
7%
72-73°F
$164 KL.
11%
74-75°F
$750 KL.
45%
76-77°F
$124 KL.
31%
78-79°F
$1,622 KL.
12%
80-81°F
$1,217 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$685 KL.
1%
84°F or higher
$100 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with southerly winds and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling, positioning the August 3 minimum in NYC near 75°F. Model consensus and recent guidance show steady temperatures around 77°F during the day transitioning to lows in the mid-70s, consistent with above-average August climatology and limited cold advection. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 74–77°F bins as these align with current ensemble runs and short-term guidance, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent unexpected frontal passages or clearer skies that could alter cooling rates. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,097Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with southerly winds and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling, positioning the August 3 minimum in NYC near 75°F. Model consensus and recent guidance show steady temperatures around 77°F during the day transitioning to lows in the mid-70s, consistent with above-average August climatology and limited cold advection. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 74–77°F bins as these align with current ensemble runs and short-term guidance, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent unexpected frontal passages or clearer skies that could alter cooling rates. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,097Ngày kết thúc
Aug 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service point to a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with southerly winds and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling, positioning the August 3 minimum in NYC near 75°F. Model consensus and recent guidance show steady temperatures around 77°F during the day transitioning to lows in the mid-70s, consistent with above-average August climatology and limited cold advection. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 74–77°F bins as these align with current ensemble runs and short-term guidance, while lower or higher extremes remain discounted absent unexpected frontal passages or clearer skies that could alter cooling rates. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles will refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp