Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật"Michael" 3rd Weekend Box Office
"Michael" 3rd Weekend Box Office
35-38m 34.6%
32-35m 28%
<32m 23%
>38m 8.3%
MỚI
$26,921 KL.
MỚI
$26,921 KL.
May 11, 2026
<32m
23%
32-35m
28%
35-38m
39%
>38m
8%
35-38m 34.6%
32-35m 28%
<32m 23%
>38m 8.3%
MỚI
$26,921 KL.
MỚI
$26,921 KL.
May 11, 2026
<32m
$19,396 KL.
23%
32-35m
$3,333 KL.
28%
35-38m
$1,932 KL.
39%
>38m
$2,551 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,921Ngày kết thúc
May 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$26,921Ngày kết thúc
May 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors under $32 million for "Michael's" third domestic weekend at 43% implied probability, driven by a 44% drop to $54 million in its second frame despite opening to a record $97 million biopic debut, signaling frontloaded fan turnout amid poor critical reception that caps word-of-mouth momentum. Jaafar Jackson's portrayal and Antoine Fuqua's direction earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, pushing the film past $195 million domestic and $430 million worldwide cume, but stiff competition from "The Devil Wears Prada 2's" massive $77 million opening looms large for May 8-10. Historical biopic legs around 2.0x opening suggest further erosion unless holdover demand surprises, with tracking updates key ahead of finals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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