Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson dominates trader consensus at 88% implied probability to win Michigan's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by her consistent lead in recent polls, including the Emerson College survey released April 16 showing her at 52% among likely voters versus Chris Swanson's 5%. Her statewide name recognition from two prior victories, fundraising superiority reported in February, and Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist's January withdrawal—shifting endorsements her way—have consolidated support, leaving Swanson's sheriff profile as a distant second at 9%. Fringe contenders like Marni Sawicki trail at 0.3%, reflecting minimal polling traction amid 35% undecideds that could shift with debates or scandals before the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Jocelyn Benson 88%
Chris Swanson 8.9%
Garlin Gilchrist <1%
Marni Sawicki <1%
Jocelyn Benson
88%
Chris Swanson
9%
Garlin Gilchrist
1%
Marni Sawicki
<1%
Jocelyn Benson 88%
Chris Swanson 8.9%
Garlin Gilchrist <1%
Marni Sawicki <1%
Jocelyn Benson
88%
Chris Swanson
9%
Garlin Gilchrist
1%
Marni Sawicki
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson dominates trader consensus at 88% implied probability to win Michigan's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by her consistent lead in recent polls, including the Emerson College survey released April 16 showing her at 52% among likely voters versus Chris Swanson's 5%. Her statewide name recognition from two prior victories, fundraising superiority reported in February, and Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist's January withdrawal—shifting endorsements her way—have consolidated support, leaving Swanson's sheriff profile as a distant second at 9%. Fringe contenders like Marni Sawicki trail at 0.3%, reflecting minimal polling traction amid 35% undecideds that could shift with debates or scandals before the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp