Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 93% probability that Paramount+ paid subscribers surpassed 76 million in Q1 2026, anchored by the Q4 2025 base of 78.9 million—a 4% year-over-year increase after adopting paid-only reporting that excludes promotional tiers. Direct-to-consumer revenue growth guidance for Q1 emphasizes ARPU expansion from U.S. price hikes effective January 15, potentially offsetting seasonal churn despite competitive pressures in streaming. A January 27 UFC pay-per-view event reportedly added about 1 million subscribers, supporting modest net gains. Paramount Skydance reports Q1 results May 4, the key catalyst for resolution amid broader ad market softness and macroeconomic risk to consumer discretionary spending.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật74M
80%
76M
93%
78M
84%
80M
42%
82M
17%
84M
4%
86M
5%
$961 KL.
74M
80%
76M
93%
78M
84%
80M
42%
82M
17%
84M
4%
86M
5%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Paramount’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Paramount’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 93% probability that Paramount+ paid subscribers surpassed 76 million in Q1 2026, anchored by the Q4 2025 base of 78.9 million—a 4% year-over-year increase after adopting paid-only reporting that excludes promotional tiers. Direct-to-consumer revenue growth guidance for Q1 emphasizes ARPU expansion from U.S. price hikes effective January 15, potentially offsetting seasonal churn despite competitive pressures in streaming. A January 27 UFC pay-per-view event reportedly added about 1 million subscribers, supporting modest net gains. Paramount Skydance reports Q1 results May 4, the key catalyst for resolution amid broader ad market softness and macroeconomic risk to consumer discretionary spending.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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