House Democrats introduced six articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on April 15, accusing him of abuse of power and high crimes related to U.S. military operations in the Iran conflict, including a naval blockade and recent airstrikes amid a fragile two-day ceasefire. However, with Republicans holding a House majority, trader consensus prices a "No" impeachment vote at 94.5%, reflecting the procedural improbability of advancing the resolution to a floor vote by June 30. Historical precedents show cabinet impeachments are exceedingly rare without bipartisan support, and no GOP defections or scheduled hearings have emerged to challenge this dynamic despite Hegseth's ongoing Pentagon briefings defending the campaign. Late scandals or war escalations could theoretically shift odds, but current partisan divides dominate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
$151,814 KL.
$151,814 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$151,814 KL.
$151,814 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Democrats introduced six articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on April 15, accusing him of abuse of power and high crimes related to U.S. military operations in the Iran conflict, including a naval blockade and recent airstrikes amid a fragile two-day ceasefire. However, with Republicans holding a House majority, trader consensus prices a "No" impeachment vote at 94.5%, reflecting the procedural improbability of advancing the resolution to a floor vote by June 30. Historical precedents show cabinet impeachments are exceedingly rare without bipartisan support, and no GOP defections or scheduled hearings have emerged to challenge this dynamic despite Hegseth's ongoing Pentagon briefings defending the campaign. Late scandals or war escalations could theoretically shift odds, but current partisan divides dominate.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$151,814Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Democrats introduced six articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on April 15, accusing him of abuse of power and high crimes related to U.S. military operations in the Iran conflict, including a naval blockade and recent airstrikes amid a fragile two-day ceasefire. However, with Republicans holding a House majority, trader consensus prices a "No" impeachment vote at 94.5%, reflecting the procedural improbability of advancing the resolution to a floor vote by June 30. Historical precedents show cabinet impeachments are exceedingly rare without bipartisan support, and no GOP defections or scheduled hearings have emerged to challenge this dynamic despite Hegseth's ongoing Pentagon briefings defending the campaign. Late scandals or war escalations could theoretically shift odds, but current partisan divides dominate.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$151,814Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House Democrats introduced six articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on April 15, accusing him of abuse of power and high crimes related to U.S. military operations in the Iran conflict, including a naval blockade and recent airstrikes amid a fragile two-day ceasefire. However, with Republicans holding a House majority, trader consensus prices a "No" impeachment vote at 94.5%, reflecting the procedural improbability of advancing the resolution to a floor vote by June 30. Historical precedents show cabinet impeachments are exceedingly rare without bipartisan support, and no GOP defections or scheduled hearings have emerged to challenge this dynamic despite Hegseth's ongoing Pentagon briefings defending the campaign. Late scandals or war escalations could theoretically shift odds, but current partisan divides dominate.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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