Recent polling from early September shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a technical tie for the October 4 first round, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35% in the latest Real Time Big Data survey, while incumbent vice-governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. Traders appear to price Zucco higher due to consolidation of right-leaning support behind his PL-led coalition and campaign focus on infrastructure, education pacts with municipalities, and agricultural issues. Brizola maintains a strong base through her PDT-PT alliance and regional strength in the Porto Alegre metro area. Souza's lower market share reflects limited path to the runoff amid the dominant two-candidate dynamic ahead of the potential October 25 second round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLuciano Zucco 60%
Juliana Brizola 33%
Gabriel Souza 2.8%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$104,141 KL.
$104,141 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
60%
Juliana Brizola
33%
Gabriel Souza
3%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 60%
Juliana Brizola 33%
Gabriel Souza 2.8%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$104,141 KL.
$104,141 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
$47,892 KL.
60%
Juliana Brizola
$35,625 KL.
33%
Gabriel Souza
$10,508 KL.
3%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,151 KL.
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,966 KL.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a technical tie for the October 4 first round, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35% in the latest Real Time Big Data survey, while incumbent vice-governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. Traders appear to price Zucco higher due to consolidation of right-leaning support behind his PL-led coalition and campaign focus on infrastructure, education pacts with municipalities, and agricultural issues. Brizola maintains a strong base through her PDT-PT alliance and regional strength in the Porto Alegre metro area. Souza's lower market share reflects limited path to the runoff amid the dominant two-candidate dynamic ahead of the potential October 25 second round.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Khối lượng
$104,141Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a technical tie for the October 4 first round, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35% in the latest Real Time Big Data survey, while incumbent vice-governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. Traders appear to price Zucco higher due to consolidation of right-leaning support behind his PL-led coalition and campaign focus on infrastructure, education pacts with municipalities, and agricultural issues. Brizola maintains a strong base through her PDT-PT alliance and regional strength in the Porto Alegre metro area. Souza's lower market share reflects limited path to the runoff amid the dominant two-candidate dynamic ahead of the potential October 25 second round.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$104,141Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a technical tie for the October 4 first round, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35% in the latest Real Time Big Data survey, while incumbent vice-governor Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. Traders appear to price Zucco higher due to consolidation of right-leaning support behind his PL-led coalition and campaign focus on infrastructure, education pacts with municipalities, and agricultural issues. Brizola maintains a strong base through her PDT-PT alliance and regional strength in the Porto Alegre metro area. Souza's lower market share reflects limited path to the runoff amid the dominant two-candidate dynamic ahead of the potential October 25 second round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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