Recent polling from Real Time Big Data, conducted September 5-9, shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a technical tie for the October 4 first-round vote, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35%, followed by Gabriel Souza (MDB) at 22%. Zucco's broader right-wing alliance, including PP and Novo backing, and his strong prior electoral performance as a federal deputy contribute to trader positioning of him as the frontrunner. Brizola benefits from PDT-PT coordination and her established state legislative record, yet faces higher rejection in some surveys. Second-round simulations remain close, with both candidates at 44% in head-to-head testing. Minor candidates like Marcelo Maranata (PSDB) register low single digits and show limited momentum ahead of the runoff on October 25 if needed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Luciano Zucco 52%
Juliana Brizola 35%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
Gabriel Souza <1%
$102,522 KL.
$102,522 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
53%
Juliana Brizola
35%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Gabriel Souza
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 52%
Juliana Brizola 35%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
Gabriel Souza <1%
$102,522 KL.
$102,522 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
$46,572 KL.
53%
Juliana Brizola
$35,558 KL.
35%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,151 KL.
1%
Gabriel Souza
$10,276 KL.
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,966 KL.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data, conducted September 5-9, shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a technical tie for the October 4 first-round vote, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35%, followed by Gabriel Souza (MDB) at 22%. Zucco's broader right-wing alliance, including PP and Novo backing, and his strong prior electoral performance as a federal deputy contribute to trader positioning of him as the frontrunner. Brizola benefits from PDT-PT coordination and her established state legislative record, yet faces higher rejection in some surveys. Second-round simulations remain close, with both candidates at 44% in head-to-head testing. Minor candidates like Marcelo Maranata (PSDB) register low single digits and show limited momentum ahead of the runoff on October 25 if needed.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Khối lượng
$102,522Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Real Time Big Data, conducted September 5-9, shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a technical tie for the October 4 first-round vote, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35%, followed by Gabriel Souza (MDB) at 22%. Zucco's broader right-wing alliance, including PP and Novo backing, and his strong prior electoral performance as a federal deputy contribute to trader positioning of him as the frontrunner. Brizola benefits from PDT-PT coordination and her established state legislative record, yet faces higher rejection in some surveys. Second-round simulations remain close, with both candidates at 44% in head-to-head testing. Minor candidates like Marcelo Maranata (PSDB) register low single digits and show limited momentum ahead of the runoff on October 25 if needed.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$102,522Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Real Time Big Data, conducted September 5-9, shows Luciano Zucco (PL) and Juliana Brizola (PDT) in a technical tie for the October 4 first-round vote, with Zucco at 36% and Brizola at 35%, followed by Gabriel Souza (MDB) at 22%. Zucco's broader right-wing alliance, including PP and Novo backing, and his strong prior electoral performance as a federal deputy contribute to trader positioning of him as the frontrunner. Brizola benefits from PDT-PT coordination and her established state legislative record, yet faces higher rejection in some surveys. Second-round simulations remain close, with both candidates at 44% in head-to-head testing. Minor candidates like Marcelo Maranata (PSDB) register low single digits and show limited momentum ahead of the runoff on October 25 if needed.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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