Recent polls in Rio Grande do Sul show a fragmented field for the state's two Senate seats, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) in a technical tie near the top and large numbers of undecided voters. The open race without an incumbent, combined with distinct party coalitions and regional voter bases, sustains tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflects this balance, as no single contender has established a durable edge in early surveys. Key upcoming factors include formal campaign launches later this month, coalition negotiations, and additional state-level polling that could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRenato Jaguarão 28%
Manuela D'Ávila 23%
Sanderson 23%
Marcel Van Hattem 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Jaguarão
28%
Manuela D'Ávila
23%
Sanderson
23%
Marcel Van Hattem
22%
Pimenta
22%
Rigotto
22%
Milton Cardoso
22%
Frederico Antunes
20%
Luciano do MLB
8%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
8%
Ric Jones
8%
Regis Ethur
7%
Tania Peres
5%
Renato Jaguarão 28%
Manuela D'Ávila 23%
Sanderson 23%
Marcel Van Hattem 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Jaguarão
$20 KL.
28%
Manuela D'Ávila
$20 KL.
23%
Sanderson
$20 KL.
23%
Marcel Van Hattem
$20 KL.
22%
Pimenta
$20 KL.
22%
Rigotto
$20 KL.
22%
Milton Cardoso
$20 KL.
22%
Frederico Antunes
$20 KL.
20%
Luciano do MLB
$101 KL.
8%
Daniela Mulheres Socialistas
$71 KL.
8%
Ric Jones
$59 KL.
8%
Regis Ethur
$87 KL.
7%
Tania Peres
$280 KL.
5%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Rio Grande do Sul show a fragmented field for the state's two Senate seats, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) in a technical tie near the top and large numbers of undecided voters. The open race without an incumbent, combined with distinct party coalitions and regional voter bases, sustains tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflects this balance, as no single contender has established a durable edge in early surveys. Key upcoming factors include formal campaign launches later this month, coalition negotiations, and additional state-level polling that could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$757Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Rio Grande do Sul show a fragmented field for the state's two Senate seats, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) in a technical tie near the top and large numbers of undecided voters. The open race without an incumbent, combined with distinct party coalitions and regional voter bases, sustains tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflects this balance, as no single contender has established a durable edge in early surveys. Key upcoming factors include formal campaign launches later this month, coalition negotiations, and additional state-level polling that could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$757Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in Rio Grande do Sul show a fragmented field for the state's two Senate seats, with Manuela D'Ávila (PSOL), Germano Rigotto (MDB), Paulo Pimenta (PT), Marcel Van Hattem (Novo), and Ubiratan Sanderson (PL) in a technical tie near the top and large numbers of undecided voters. The open race without an incumbent, combined with distinct party coalitions and regional voter bases, sustains tight competition for second place. Trader consensus reflects this balance, as no single contender has established a durable edge in early surveys. Key upcoming factors include formal campaign launches later this month, coalition negotiations, and additional state-level polling that could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 first round.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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