Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in the 2024 presidential election, combined with his status as a sitting senator unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her party's nomination in a rematch of the 2020 contest Hagerty won by 27 points, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising—under $3,000 reported versus Hagerty's multimillion-dollar war chest—and a single recent poll showing her trailing by 20 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTennessee Senate Election Winner
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
$29,907 KL.
$29,907 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
97%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
3%
$29,907 KL.
$29,907 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
$19,518 KL.
97%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
$10,390 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in the 2024 presidential election, combined with his status as a sitting senator unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her party's nomination in a rematch of the 2020 contest Hagerty won by 27 points, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising—under $3,000 reported versus Hagerty's multimillion-dollar war chest—and a single recent poll showing her trailing by 20 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$29,907Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in the 2024 presidential election, combined with his status as a sitting senator unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her party's nomination in a rematch of the 2020 contest Hagerty won by 27 points, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising—under $3,000 reported versus Hagerty's multimillion-dollar war chest—and a single recent poll showing her trailing by 20 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$29,907Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by Donald Trump's 29.7-point margin in the 2024 presidential election, combined with his status as a sitting senator unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary. Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her party's nomination in a rematch of the 2020 contest Hagerty won by 27 points, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising—under $3,000 reported versus Hagerty's multimillion-dollar war chest—and a single recent poll showing her trailing by 20 points. All major forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. An upset would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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