Tennessee's U.S. Senate race features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in a November 3, 2026 general election rematch. The state's strong Republican lean, evidenced by Hagerty's 62% win in 2020 and no Democratic Class 2 Senate victory since 1990, underpins trader consensus at 95.7% for the Republican nominee. Hagerty advanced unopposed in the August 6 primary with 99.4% support, while Bradshaw secured her party's nod at 54.8%. Forecasts rate the contest Solid Republican, projecting margins near 30 points based on historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late national shift, major scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for such change before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTennessee Senate Election Winner
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
$24,668 KL.
$24,668 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
96%
Democrat
2%
$24,668 KL.
$24,668 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$14,806 KL.
96%
Democrat
$9,861 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's U.S. Senate race features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in a November 3, 2026 general election rematch. The state's strong Republican lean, evidenced by Hagerty's 62% win in 2020 and no Democratic Class 2 Senate victory since 1990, underpins trader consensus at 95.7% for the Republican nominee. Hagerty advanced unopposed in the August 6 primary with 99.4% support, while Bradshaw secured her party's nod at 54.8%. Forecasts rate the contest Solid Republican, projecting margins near 30 points based on historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late national shift, major scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for such change before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,668Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's U.S. Senate race features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in a November 3, 2026 general election rematch. The state's strong Republican lean, evidenced by Hagerty's 62% win in 2020 and no Democratic Class 2 Senate victory since 1990, underpins trader consensus at 95.7% for the Republican nominee. Hagerty advanced unopposed in the August 6 primary with 99.4% support, while Bradshaw secured her party's nod at 54.8%. Forecasts rate the contest Solid Republican, projecting margins near 30 points based on historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late national shift, major scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for such change before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$24,668Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's U.S. Senate race features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term against Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in a November 3, 2026 general election rematch. The state's strong Republican lean, evidenced by Hagerty's 62% win in 2020 and no Democratic Class 2 Senate victory since 1990, underpins trader consensus at 95.7% for the Republican nominee. Hagerty advanced unopposed in the August 6 primary with 99.4% support, while Bradshaw secured her party's nod at 54.8%. Forecasts rate the contest Solid Republican, projecting margins near 30 points based on historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late national shift, major scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge could narrow the gap, though current indicators show few pathways for such change before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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