In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, trader consensus favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 72% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson, reflecting Allred's dominant 44%-33% first-round win on March 3 that triggered the May 26 contest under Texas rules requiring a majority. Allred's edge stems from superior fundraising—recent reports show him raising $1.6 million in Q1 with $679,000 cash-on-hand—bolstered by name recognition from two strong Senate campaigns where he overperformed polls. Johnson trails despite incumbency advantages in the Dallas County-heavy battleground, with turnout and endorsements key variables ahead of early voting. The safe Democratic seat awaits the nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-33 Democratic Primary Winner
TX-33 Democratic Primary Winner
Colin Allred 72%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$56,280 KL.
$56,280 KL.
May 26, 2026
Colin Allred
72%
Julie Johnson
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 72%
Julie Johnson 27%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$56,280 KL.
$56,280 KL.
May 26, 2026
Colin Allred
$28,367 KL.
72%
Julie Johnson
$25,234 KL.
27%
Carlos Quintanilla
$2,679 KL.
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, trader consensus favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 72% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson, reflecting Allred's dominant 44%-33% first-round win on March 3 that triggered the May 26 contest under Texas rules requiring a majority. Allred's edge stems from superior fundraising—recent reports show him raising $1.6 million in Q1 with $679,000 cash-on-hand—bolstered by name recognition from two strong Senate campaigns where he overperformed polls. Johnson trails despite incumbency advantages in the Dallas County-heavy battleground, with turnout and endorsements key variables ahead of early voting. The safe Democratic seat awaits the nominee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Khối lượng
$56,280Ngày kết thúc
May 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, trader consensus favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 72% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson, reflecting Allred's dominant 44%-33% first-round win on March 3 that triggered the May 26 contest under Texas rules requiring a majority. Allred's edge stems from superior fundraising—recent reports show him raising $1.6 million in Q1 with $679,000 cash-on-hand—bolstered by name recognition from two strong Senate campaigns where he overperformed polls. Johnson trails despite incumbency advantages in the Dallas County-heavy battleground, with turnout and endorsements key variables ahead of early voting. The safe Democratic seat awaits the nominee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TX-233 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$56,280Ngày kết thúc
May 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Democratic primary runoff for Texas' newly redrawn 33rd Congressional District, trader consensus favors former Rep. Colin Allred at 72% implied probability over Rep. Julie Johnson, reflecting Allred's dominant 44%-33% first-round win on March 3 that triggered the May 26 contest under Texas rules requiring a majority. Allred's edge stems from superior fundraising—recent reports show him raising $1.6 million in Q1 with $679,000 cash-on-hand—bolstered by name recognition from two strong Senate campaigns where he overperformed polls. Johnson trails despite incumbency advantages in the Dallas County-heavy battleground, with turnout and endorsements key variables ahead of early voting. The safe Democratic seat awaits the nominee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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